Mt An 4 (9-03) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 26, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Dan Lofthus at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Down 2 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2003, was 59.6 million head. This was 2 percent below September 1, 2002, but 2 percent above June 1, 2003. Breeding inventory, at 5.88 million head, was down 3 percent from September 1, 2002, and 1 percent below last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 53.7 million head, was 2 percent below last year, but 2 percent above last quarter. The June-August 2003 U.S. pig crop, at 25.2 million head, was 2 percent less than both 2002 and 2001. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.83 million head, 2 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter was 8.90 pigs saved per litter for the June-August 2003 period, equivalent to last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.80 million sows farrow during the September-November 2003 quarter, 1 percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 2002 and 3 percent below 2001. Intended farrowings for December 2003-February 2004, at 2.77 million sows, are 2 percent below the same period in 2002, but 1 percent above 2001. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 35 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, unchanged from last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2002 through June 2003 were reviewed using final pig crop official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review no revisions were necessary to total hog inventory or pig crop in any quarter. This report was approved on September 26, 2003. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James R. Moseley Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2003 as % of Item : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 :------------- : : : : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 57,524 59,248 58,187 101 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,232 6,236 5,956 96 96 Market : 51,292 53,011 52,231 102 99 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 18,737 19,487 19,110 102 98 60-119 Pounds : 12,417 12,975 12,655 102 98 120-179 Pounds : 10,805 11,172 10,944 101 98 180 Pounds and Over : 9,334 9,377 9,522 102 102 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 58,603 60,288 58,736 100 97 Kept for Breeding : 6,186 6,209 5,940 96 96 Market : 52,417 54,078 52,796 101 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,923 20,186 19,617 98 97 60-119 Pounds : 12,992 13,588 13,113 101 97 120-179 Pounds : 10,536 10,884 10,727 102 99 180 Pounds and Over : 8,967 9,420 9,339 104 99 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,777 60,725 59,623 100 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,158 6,054 5,882 96 97 Market : 53,619 54,670 53,741 100 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,911 20,070 19,862 100 99 60-119 Pounds : 13,438 13,655 13,570 101 99 120-179 Pounds : 10,854 11,019 10,848 100 98 180 Pounds and Over : 9,417 9,926 9,461 100 95 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,804 59,513 Kept for Breeding : 6,209 6,012 Market : 53,594 53,501 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,908 19,461 60-119 Pounds : 12,924 13,054 120-179 Pounds : 10,744 10,881 180 Pounds and Over : 10,018 10,105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2001-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2003 as % of : 2004 Item : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,748 2,836 2,767 2,766 101 98 100 Mar-May : 2,870 2,943 2,821 98 96 Dec-May 2/ : 5,619 5,779 5,589 99 97 : Jun-Aug : 2,878 2,887 2,826 98 98 Sep-Nov 4/ : 2,889 2,817 2,801 97 99 Jun-Nov 5/ : 5,767 5,704 5,628 98 99 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 23,963 24,794 24,374 102 98 Mar-May : 25,509 25,959 25,053 98 97 Dec-May 2/ : 49,472 50,752 49,427 100 97 : Jun-Aug : 25,539 25,700 25,150 98 98 Sep-Nov : 25,492 24,892 Jun-Nov : 51,031 50,592 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.72 8.74 8.81 101 101 Mar-May : 8.89 8.82 8.88 100 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.81 8.78 8.84 100 101 : Jun-Aug : 8.87 8.90 8.90 100 100 Sep-Nov : 8.82 8.83 Jun-Nov : 8.85 8.87 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2004. 4/ Intentions for 2003. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2002 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.30 7.80 8.30 8.60 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.70 8.10 8.30 8.70 8.70 8.90 Jun-Aug : 7.60 7.80 8.40 8.70 8.80 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 : 2003 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.00 8.20 8.70 8.80 8.90 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.70 8.70 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 923 908 8.66 8.75 7,994 7,943 Jan : 946 931 8.73 8.82 8,257 8,211 Feb : 967 928 8.83 8.86 8,543 8,220 Mar : 978 938 8.80 8.85 8,608 8,301 Apr : 983 942 8.85 8.88 8,700 8,365 May : 982 941 8.81 8.91 8,651 8,387 Jun : 960 935 8.89 8.91 8,537 8,327 Jul : 968 946 8.89 8.90 8,609 8,419 Aug : 959 945 8.92 8.89 8,554 8,404 Sep : 951 8.85 8,416 Oct : 940 8.83 8,300 Nov : 926 8.83 8,176 : Total : 11,483 8.83 101,344 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Monthly Sows and Gilts: Inventory and Number Bred, United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Inventory 1st of Month : Bred during Month :-----------------------------------:----------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 Month : :-----------------------: :----------------------- : 2002 : : as % of : 2002 : : as % of : : Number : 2002 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- Percent --- 1,000 Head -- Percent : Dec 1/ : 6,031 5,850 97 1,194 1,165 98 Jan : 6,022 5,835 97 1,190 1,150 97 Feb : 6,020 5,810 97 1,156 1,125 97 Mar : 6,075 5,830 96 1,181 1,135 96 Apr : 5,980 5,765 96 1,173 1,145 98 May : 5,985 5,770 96 1,170 1,140 97 Jun : 6,030 5,815 96 1,168 1,135 97 Jul : 5,975 5,760 96 1,145 1,120 98 Aug : 5,940 5,755 97 1,120 1,110 99 Sep : 5,890 5,750 98 1,145 Oct : 5,870 1,160 Nov : 5,860 1,170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ This is the final publication of this table due to the discontinuation of the Monthly Hog and Pig data collection series. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 105 75 71 485 200 41 590 275 47 CO : 180 120 67 610 590 97 790 710 90 IL : 450 420 93 3,750 3,530 94 4,200 3,950 94 IN : 340 320 94 2,860 2,780 97 3,200 3,100 97 IA : 1,120 1,040 93 13,980 13,960 100 15,100 15,000 99 KS : 170 160 94 1,430 1,310 92 1,600 1,470 92 MI : 120 100 83 840 770 92 960 870 91 MN : 570 590 104 5,230 5,510 105 5,800 6,100 105 MO : 370 360 97 2,580 2,590 100 2,950 2,950 100 NE : 390 375 96 2,610 2,525 97 3,000 2,900 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 8,600 98 9,800 9,600 98 OH : 165 160 97 1,305 1,280 98 1,470 1,440 98 OK : 330 330 100 1,960 2,030 104 2,290 2,360 103 PA : 130 120 92 960 950 99 1,090 1,070 98 SD : 150 145 97 1,120 1,155 103 1,270 1,300 102 TX : 100 100 100 810 790 98 910 890 98 WI : 60 60 100 440 440 100 500 500 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 486 481 99 3,241 3,221 99 3,728 3,702 99 : US : 6,236 5,956 96 53,011 52,231 99 59,248 58,187 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 250 130 65 20 80 20 90 30 CO : 330 305 95 85 70 85 115 115 IL : 1,330 1,270 940 860 820 780 660 620 IN : 1,040 1,040 720 660 580 560 520 520 IA : 4,360 4,300 3,800 3,810 3,220 3,150 2,600 2,700 KS : 490 430 270 250 290 250 380 380 MI : 310 270 215 190 165 165 150 145 MN : 2,070 2,120 1,330 1,320 1,060 1,190 770 880 MO : 1,120 1,230 630 570 520 480 310 310 NE : 1,070 1,000 680 640 500 490 360 395 NC : 3,450 3,350 2,000 2,000 1,850 1,800 1,500 1,450 OH : 545 525 310 305 290 280 160 170 OK : 860 880 310 350 280 290 510 510 PA : 345 340 255 245 200 180 160 185 SD : 375 380 295 295 265 270 185 210 TX : 265 220 175 210 165 160 205 200 WI : 165 165 105 100 90 90 80 85 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,112 1,155 780 745 727 704 622 617 : US : 19,487 19,110 12,975 12,655 11,172 10,944 9,377 9,522 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 75 75 495 185 37 595 260 44 CO : 150 120 80 600 600 100 750 720 96 IL : 450 420 93 3,800 3,580 94 4,250 4,000 94 IN : 330 310 94 2,870 2,690 94 3,200 3,000 94 IA : 1,130 1,040 92 14,470 14,460 100 15,600 15,500 99 KS : 165 165 100 1,385 1,325 96 1,550 1,490 96 MI : 110 100 91 810 800 99 920 900 98 MN : 580 590 102 5,320 5,610 105 5,900 6,200 105 MO : 380 340 89 2,670 2,560 96 3,050 2,900 95 NE : 395 375 95 2,555 2,575 101 2,950 2,950 100 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,900 8,600 97 9,900 9,600 97 OH : 170 155 91 1,330 1,295 97 1,500 1,450 97 OK : 320 350 109 2,120 1,940 92 2,440 2,290 94 PA : 130 120 92 940 930 99 1,070 1,050 98 SD : 140 145 104 1,130 1,175 104 1,270 1,320 104 TX : 105 110 105 885 800 90 990 910 92 WI : 65 55 85 465 425 91 530 480 91 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 489 470 96 3,333 3,246 97 3,823 3,716 97 : US : 6,209 5,940 96 54,078 52,796 98 60,288 58,736 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 255 110 65 25 80 25 95 25 CO : 305 310 95 90 90 85 110 115 IL : 1,400 1,300 970 900 780 750 650 630 IN : 1,040 960 740 650 570 560 520 520 IA : 4,570 4,610 4,050 3,960 3,250 3,190 2,600 2,700 KS : 510 435 310 295 245 245 320 350 MI : 310 290 205 210 155 160 140 140 MN : 2,080 2,170 1,380 1,430 1,100 1,180 760 830 MO : 1,180 1,240 640 540 510 470 340 310 NE : 1,050 1,020 660 690 470 490 375 375 NC : 3,600 3,550 2,150 2,100 1,700 1,650 1,450 1,300 OH : 530 540 335 315 290 270 175 170 OK : 920 850 300 300 290 270 610 520 PA : 345 340 245 230 180 180 170 180 SD : 405 370 300 305 250 280 175 220 TX : 290 265 235 160 160 135 200 240 WI : 165 170 120 95 95 85 85 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,231 1,087 788 818 669 702 645 639 : US : 20,186 19,617 13,588 13,113 10,884 10,727 9,420 9,339 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 90 80 89 455 200 44 545 280 51 CO : 145 110 76 615 630 102 760 740 97 IL : 430 420 98 3,820 3,430 90 4,250 3,850 91 IN : 330 300 91 2,870 2,700 94 3,200 3,000 94 IA : 1,100 1,020 93 14,500 14,680 101 15,600 15,700 101 KS : 160 165 103 1,400 1,465 105 1,560 1,630 104 MI : 120 100 83 820 790 96 940 890 95 MN : 580 590 102 5,520 5,710 103 6,100 6,300 103 MO : 350 330 94 2,600 2,570 99 2,950 2,900 98 NE : 360 375 104 2,540 2,625 103 2,900 3,000 103 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 9,200 8,900 97 10,200 9,900 97 OH : 160 155 97 1,330 1,295 97 1,490 1,450 97 OK : 330 360 109 2,150 2,070 96 2,480 2,430 98 PA : 125 120 96 945 1,010 107 1,070 1,130 106 SD : 140 135 96 1,180 1,125 95 1,320 1,260 95 TX : 100 95 95 900 825 92 1,000 920 92 WI : 55 60 109 425 440 104 480 500 104 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 479 467 97 3,400 3,276 96 3,880 3,743 96 : US : 6,054 5,882 97 54,670 53,741 98 60,725 59,623 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 225 110 65 35 75 30 90 25 CO : 310 325 95 95 90 90 120 120 IL : 1,390 1,270 960 860 790 720 680 580 IN : 1,050 1,000 720 680 570 540 530 480 IA : 4,490 4,560 4,040 4,100 3,160 3,210 2,810 2,810 KS : 485 490 260 340 240 225 415 410 MI : 315 290 210 205 160 155 135 140 MN : 2,170 2,230 1,410 1,510 1,140 1,180 800 790 MO : 1,190 1,220 550 550 470 480 390 320 NE : 1,000 1,030 650 690 500 500 390 405 NC : 3,600 3,550 2,300 2,250 1,800 1,750 1,500 1,350 OH : 540 545 320 330 280 265 190 155 OK : 890 950 370 300 340 290 550 530 PA : 340 360 250 240 180 200 175 210 SD : 400 370 320 305 270 260 190 190 TX : 265 290 240 160 195 150 200 225 WI : 160 175 100 100 75 85 90 80 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,250 1,097 795 820 684 718 671 641 : US : 20,070 19,862 13,655 13,570 11,019 10,848 9,926 9,461 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : : 2002 : : 2002 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 80 80 480 225 47 580 305 53 CO : 175 160 91 625 630 101 800 790 99 IL : 450 430 96 3,800 3,720 98 4,250 4,150 98 IN : 340 330 97 2,860 2,870 100 3,200 3,200 100 IA : 1,130 1,050 93 14,270 14,550 102 15,400 15,600 101 KS : 170 160 94 1,400 1,370 98 1,570 1,530 97 MI : 110 100 91 850 760 89 960 860 90 MN : 570 580 102 5,230 5,420 104 5,800 6,000 103 MO : 380 360 95 2,620 2,590 99 3,000 2,950 98 NE : 370 365 99 2,530 2,585 102 2,900 2,950 102 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 8,700 99 9,800 9,700 99 OH : 160 155 97 1,270 1,285 101 1,430 1,440 101 OK : 340 330 97 2,140 2,010 94 2,480 2,340 94 PA : 130 125 96 930 955 103 1,060 1,080 102 SD : 145 140 97 1,145 1,170 102 1,290 1,310 102 TX : 100 105 105 800 825 103 900 930 103 WI : 65 60 92 475 460 97 540 520 96 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 474 482 102 3,369 3,376 100 3,844 3,858 100 : US : 6,209 6,012 97 53,594 53,501 100 59,804 59,513 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 230 115 75 40 75 35 100 35 CO : 350 350 90 90 75 80 110 110 IL : 1,380 1,320 920 920 830 800 670 680 IN : 1,040 1,010 710 690 580 620 530 550 IA : 4,510 4,400 3,900 3,950 3,060 3,250 2,800 2,950 KS : 480 440 290 320 250 290 380 320 MI : 315 285 205 180 170 145 160 150 MN : 2,130 2,110 1,250 1,330 1,030 1,080 820 900 MO : 1,140 1,190 600 530 510 480 370 390 NE : 1,030 1,010 610 670 500 500 390 405 NC : 3,500 3,450 2,020 2,050 1,730 1,700 1,550 1,500 OH : 520 525 310 310 265 275 175 175 OK : 860 910 350 280 300 200 630 620 PA : 365 340 235 250 180 185 150 180 SD : 410 370 290 310 250 265 195 225 TX : 260 240 140 240 165 180 235 165 WI : 180 165 105 110 100 95 90 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,208 1,231 824 784 674 701 663 660 : US : 19,908 19,461 12,924 13,054 10,744 10,881 10,018 10,105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2002-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2004 4/ : Per Litter : : 2003 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2002 : 2003 : :as % of: : : 2002 : :as % of : : :Number : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 41 30 73 9.20 9.70 478 398 83 CO : 79 75 61 81 8.40 8.35 664 626 94 IL : 210 200 210 105 8.55 8.85 1,796 1,770 99 IN : 155 150 145 97 8.70 8.85 1,349 1,328 98 IA : 420 410 425 104 8.60 8.50 3,612 3,485 96 KS : 79 76 82 108 8.40 8.50 664 646 97 MI : 50 43 43 100 9.00 8.80 450 378 84 MN : 260 265 270 102 8.80 8.80 2,288 2,332 102 MO : 170 170 155 91 8.85 8.85 1,505 1,505 100 NE : 170 175 175 100 8.80 8.75 1,496 1,531 102 NC : 540 530 540 102 8.95 9.00 4,833 4,770 99 OH : 74 73 75 103 8.95 8.90 662 650 98 OK : 170 170 160 94 8.75 8.80 1,488 1,496 101 PA : 53 49 52 106 8.80 9.30 466 456 98 SD : 70 64 64 100 8.90 9.05 623 579 93 TX : 43 43 51 119 9.00 8.75 387 376 97 WI : 28 29 27 93 8.45 8.60 237 249 105 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 213 204 201 98 8.43 8.80 1,796 1,799 100 : US : 2,836 2,767 2,766 100 8.74 8.81 24,794 24,374 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 35 67 9.60 9.70 499 340 68 CO : 76 65 86 8.50 8.50 646 553 86 IL : 225 205 91 8.60 8.90 1,935 1,825 94 IN : 155 140 90 8.80 8.95 1,364 1,253 92 IA : 470 460 98 8.55 8.70 4,019 4,002 100 KS : 82 81 99 8.75 8.50 718 689 96 MI : 50 44 88 8.85 9.00 443 396 89 MN : 270 270 100 8.95 8.95 2,417 2,417 100 MO : 180 170 94 8.95 8.70 1,611 1,479 92 NE : 175 175 100 9.00 8.90 1,575 1,558 99 NC : 550 540 98 9.00 9.00 4,950 4,860 98 OH : 75 71 95 8.95 9.00 671 639 95 OK : 165 170 103 8.85 8.90 1,460 1,513 104 PA : 54 49 91 8.70 9.30 470 456 97 SD : 70 66 94 8.80 9.10 616 601 98 TX : 45 47 104 8.90 9.00 401 423 105 WI : 29 27 93 8.55 8.75 248 236 95 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 220 206 94 8.69 8.78 1,916 1,813 95 : US : 2,943 2,821 96 8.82 8.88 25,959 25,053 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 35 67 9.55 9.60 497 336 68 CO : 75 67 89 8.35 8.70 626 583 93 IL : 210 205 98 8.75 8.85 1,838 1,814 99 IN : 155 150 97 8.70 8.95 1,349 1,343 100 IA : 430 430 100 8.80 8.70 3,784 3,741 99 KS : 82 77 94 8.75 8.75 718 674 94 MI : 55 45 82 9.05 9.00 498 405 81 MN : 265 270 102 8.85 8.90 2,345 2,403 102 MO : 175 170 97 8.90 8.95 1,558 1,522 98 NE : 165 175 106 9.00 8.80 1,485 1,540 104 NC : 560 550 98 9.10 9.00 5,096 4,950 97 OH : 78 75 96 8.90 8.90 694 668 96 OK : 170 180 106 9.05 9.00 1,539 1,620 105 PA : 53 51 96 9.00 9.40 477 479 100 SD : 69 64 93 9.05 9.25 624 592 95 TX : 50 48 96 8.95 8.70 448 418 93 WI : 26 29 112 8.35 8.60 217 249 115 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 217 205 95 8.80 8.82 1,907 1,813 95 : US : 2,887 2,826 98 8.90 8.90 25,700 25,150 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2003 3/ : per Litter : : 2002 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2001 : 2002 : :as % of: : : 2001 : :as % of : : :Number : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 51 44 33 75 9.50 9.80 485 431 89 CO : 82 75 64 85 8.50 8.60 697 645 93 IL : 220 210 210 100 8.60 8.65 1,892 1,817 96 IN : 155 150 140 93 8.70 8.75 1,349 1,313 97 IA : 460 430 430 100 8.70 8.50 4,002 3,655 91 KS : 81 79 84 106 8.55 8.70 693 687 99 MI : 46 42 45 107 9.15 9.10 421 382 91 MN : 265 270 270 100 9.00 8.90 2,385 2,403 101 MO : 180 175 165 94 8.80 8.80 1,584 1,540 97 NE : 165 170 175 103 8.70 9.05 1,436 1,539 107 NC : 530 530 550 104 9.00 9.00 4,770 4,770 100 OH : 74 73 72 99 8.80 8.85 651 646 99 OK : 170 165 170 103 9.10 9.10 1,547 1,502 97 PA : 55 53 52 98 8.80 9.00 484 477 99 SD : 71 61 68 111 8.95 9.00 635 549 86 TX : 41 46 50 109 8.90 8.85 365 407 112 WI : 30 28 27 96 8.45 8.70 254 244 96 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 213 216 196 91 8.66 8.71 1,842 1,885 102 : US : 2,889 2,817 2,801 99 8.82 8.83 25,492 24,892 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Reliability of June 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 12,200 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 9,900 operations, 82 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of September by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 59.6 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.7 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.0 1.7 1,014 476 0 1,230 8 12 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.4 2.3 578 226 0 933 13 7 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.1 87 33 1 158 13 7 : Following : Quarter : 2.2 3.7 102 49 1 146 14 6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States5 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February. . . . 16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August. . . . . . . 18 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May. . . . . . . . 17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November . . . 19 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . 14 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . 10 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . .8 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1. . . . . . . 12 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . 15 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 11 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . .9 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . 13 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . .6 Monthly Sows and Gilts: Inventory and Number Bred, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . .6 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States . . . .5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . 20 The next "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on December 30, 2003. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: http:/www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at http:/www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov.