Mt An 4 (12-03) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released December 30, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Dan Lofthus at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2003, was 60.0 million head. This was 1 percent above December 1, 2002, but slightly below September 1, 2003. Breeding inventory, at 5.97 million head, was down 1 percent from December 1, 2002, but 1 percent above last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 54.1 million head, was 1 percent above last year, but slightly below last quarter. The September - November 2003 U.S. pig crop, at 25.3 million head, was 2 percent more than 2002, but 1 percent below 2001. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.84 million head, 1 percent above last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 8.93 for the September - November period, compared to 8.83 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.10 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.81 million sows farrow during the December 2003 - February 2004 quarter, 1 percent above the actual farrowings during the same period in 2003, but 1 percent below 2002. Intended farrowings for March - May 2004, at 2.85 million sows, are 1 percent below the same period in 2003 and 3 percent below 2002. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2002 through September 2003 were reviewed using final pig crop official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, adjustments of less than one-half percent were made to the March 2003 total inventory, and one percent to the June 2003 and September 2003 total inventories. An adjustment of less than one-half percent was made to the December 2002 - February 2003 pig crop and a two percent adjustment was made to the March - May 2003 pig crop. Special Note The operations-related estimates that are traditionally included were not included in this December 2003 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report to allow a more complete analysis of the estimates in consideration of the 2002 Census of Agriculture data. These operation estimates will be combined with cattle, sheep, and dairy operations into a single Livestock Operations report that will be published in Spring 2004. Beginning December 2004, all annual livestock operation estimates, farm numbers, and land in farms will be combined into a new single report released annually. These operation-related estimates will no longer be published in the individual commodity reports. This report was approved on December 30, 2003. Acting Secretary of Agriculture J. B. Penn Agricultural Statistics Board Acting Chairperson Steven D. Wiyatt Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2003 as % of Item : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 :------------- : : : : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 57,524 59,248 58,207 101 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,232 6,236 6,021 97 97 Market : 51,292 53,011 52,186 102 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 18,737 19,487 19,090 102 98 60-119 Pounds : 12,417 12,975 12,655 102 98 120-179 Pounds : 10,805 11,172 10,919 101 98 180 Pounds and Over : 9,334 9,377 9,522 102 102 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 58,603 60,288 59,586 102 99 Kept for Breeding : 6,186 6,209 5,960 96 96 Market : 52,417 54,078 53,626 102 99 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,923 20,186 20,492 103 102 60-119 Pounds : 12,992 13,588 12,978 100 96 120-179 Pounds : 10,536 10,884 10,787 102 99 180 Pounds and Over : 8,967 9,420 9,369 104 99 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,777 60,725 60,103 101 99 Kept for Breeding : 6,158 6,054 5,902 96 97 Market : 53,619 54,670 54,201 101 99 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,911 20,070 19,862 100 99 60-119 Pounds : 13,438 13,655 13,670 102 100 120-179 Pounds : 10,854 11,019 11,153 103 101 180 Pounds and Over : 9,417 9,926 9,516 101 96 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,804 59,513 60,040 100 101 Kept for Breeding : 6,209 6,012 5,966 96 99 Market : 53,594 53,501 54,074 101 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,908 19,461 19,821 100 102 60-119 Pounds : 12,924 13,054 13,250 103 102 120-179 Pounds : 10,744 10,881 10,839 101 100 180 Pounds and Over : 10,018 10,105 10,164 101 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2001-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2003 as % of :2004 as Item : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :---------------:Percent : : : : : 2001 : 2002 :of 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,748 2,836 2,765 2,806 101 97 101 Mar-May 3/ : 2,870 2,943 2,881 2,846 100 98 99 Dec-May 2/ 3/ : 5,619 5,779 5,645 5,652 100 98 100 : Jun-Aug : 2,878 2,887 2,825 98 98 Sep-Nov : 2,889 2,817 2,836 98 101 Jun-Nov : 5,767 5,704 5,660 98 99 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 23,963 24,794 24,359 102 98 Mar-May : 25,509 25,959 25,583 100 99 Dec-May 2/ : 49,472 50,752 49,942 101 98 : Jun-Aug : 25,539 25,700 25,150 98 98 Sep-Nov : 25,492 24,892 25,314 99 102 Jun-Nov : 51,031 50,592 50,464 99 100 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.72 8.74 8.81 101 101 Mar-May : 8.89 8.82 8.88 100 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.81 8.78 8.85 100 101 : Jun-Aug : 8.87 8.90 8.90 100 100 Sep-Nov : 8.82 8.83 8.93 101 101 Jun-Nov : 8.85 8.87 8.92 101 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2004. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2002 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.30 7.80 8.30 8.60 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.70 8.10 8.30 8.70 8.70 8.90 Jun-Aug : 7.60 7.80 8.40 8.70 8.80 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 : 2003 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.00 8.20 8.70 8.80 8.90 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.70 8.70 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.40 7.90 8.30 8.60 8.70 9.10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AL : 10 15 150 155 150 97 165 165 100 AK : 0.3 0.4 133 0.9 1.1 122 1.2 1.5 125 AZ : 14 16 114 129 111 86 143 127 89 AR : 80 85 106 225 225 100 305 310 102 CA : 21 20 95 114 115 101 135 135 100 CO : 160 110 69 630 660 105 790 770 97 CT : 0.8 0.8 100 3.0 3.0 100 3.8 3.8 100 DE : 4.5 3.0 67 17.5 15.0 86 22.0 18.0 82 FL : 7.0 5.0 71 28.0 25.0 89 35.0 30.0 86 GA : 55 48 87 290 247 85 345 295 86 HI : 5.0 5.0 100 19.0 18.0 95 24.0 23.0 96 ID : 3.0 4.0 133 19.0 22.0 116 22.0 26.0 118 IL : 430 410 95 3,720 3,540 95 4,150 3,950 95 IN : 330 300 91 2,870 2,800 98 3,200 3,100 97 IA : 1,050 1,060 101 14,550 14,740 101 15,600 15,800 101 KS : 160 160 100 1,370 1,470 107 1,530 1,630 107 KY : 40 45 113 330 335 102 370 380 103 LA : 3.0 3.0 100 17.0 17.0 100 20.0 20.0 100 ME : 1.3 1.5 115 4.7 5.0 106 6.0 6.5 108 MD : 7.0 6.0 86 38.0 34.0 89 45.0 40.0 89 MA : 2.5 2.5 100 14.0 12.0 86 16.5 14.5 88 MI : 100 110 110 760 840 111 860 950 110 MN : 580 600 103 5,420 5,800 107 6,000 6,400 107 MS : 29 28 97 246 277 113 275 305 111 MO : 360 340 94 2,590 2,610 101 2,950 2,950 100 MT : 21 18 86 164 152 93 185 170 92 NE : 365 370 101 2,585 2,530 98 2,950 2,900 98 NV : 1.0 0.6 60 5.5 4.4 80 6.5 5.0 77 NH : 0.8 0.8 100 2.4 2.1 88 3.2 2.9 91 NJ : 2.0 1.0 50 13.0 11.0 85 15.0 12.0 80 NM : 0.4 0.4 100 2.6 2.1 81 3.0 2.5 83 NY : 9.0 9.0 100 77.0 64.0 83 86.0 73.0 85 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,700 8,900 102 9,700 9,900 102 ND : 26 30 115 128 120 94 154 150 97 OH : 155 160 103 1,285 1,360 106 1,440 1,520 106 OK : 330 360 109 2,010 1,980 99 2,340 2,340 100 OR : 6.0 6.0 100 25.0 21.0 84 31.0 27.0 87 PA : 125 120 96 955 980 103 1,080 1,100 102 RI : 0.7 0.6 86 2.2 2.0 91 2.9 2.6 90 SC : 30 30 100 270 270 100 300 300 100 SD : 140 145 104 1,170 1,115 95 1,310 1,260 96 TN : 30 25 83 190 190 100 220 215 98 TX : 105 105 100 825 825 100 930 930 100 UT : 90 91 101 580 569 98 670 660 99 VT : 0.5 0.4 80 2.0 1.7 85 2.5 2.1 84 VA : 35 35 100 365 335 92 400 370 93 WA : 4.0 4.0 100 20.0 20.0 100 24.0 24.0 100 WV : 2.0 2.0 100 9.0 8.0 89 11.0 10.0 91 WI : 60 55 92 460 435 95 520 490 94 WY : 20 19 95 95 105 111 115 124 108 : US : 6,012 5,966 99 53,501 54,074 101 59,513 60,040 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AL : 67 65 31 30 28 27 29 28 AK : 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 AZ : 44 32 29 27 28 26 28 26 AR : 115 125 40 30 35 30 35 40 CA : 34 35 29 25 26 28 25 27 CO : 350 325 90 105 80 95 110 135 CT : 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.4 DE : 6.0 6.5 4.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.5 2.5 FL : 13.0 13.0 9.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 GA : 133 114 67 56 50 42 40 35 HI : 8.0 8.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 ID : 7.0 7.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 IL : 1,320 1,280 920 860 800 750 680 650 IN : 1,010 990 690 670 620 580 550 560 IA : 4,400 4,510 3,950 4,130 3,250 3,100 2,950 3,000 KS : 440 510 320 285 290 270 320 405 KY : 110 110 80 90 75 70 65 65 LA : 6.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 ME : 2.8 2.3 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.5 MD : 10.0 10.0 7.0 7.0 9.0 9.0 12.0 8.0 MA : 4.5 3.8 4.5 3.3 3.0 3.1 2.0 1.8 MI : 285 300 180 205 145 175 150 160 MN : 2,110 2,210 1,330 1,420 1,080 1,200 900 970 MS : 90 34 59 81 50 81 47 81 MO : 1,190 1,280 530 530 480 460 390 340 MT : 55 50 41 37 35 35 33 30 NE : 1,010 980 670 650 500 490 405 410 NV : 1.3 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.0 1.5 1.4 NH : 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 NJ : 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 NM : 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 NY : 30.0 24.0 17.0 15.0 15.0 13.0 15.0 12.0 NC : 3,450 3,550 2,050 2,150 1,700 1,700 1,500 1,500 ND : 50 50 33 30 25 21 20 19 OH : 525 560 310 330 275 280 175 190 OK : 910 920 280 320 200 290 620 450 OR : 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 PA : 340 360 250 235 185 185 180 200 RI : 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 SC : 65 65 70 70 55 60 80 75 SD : 370 385 310 250 265 260 225 220 TN : 75 77 42 43 37 36 36 34 TX : 240 245 240 195 180 200 165 185 UT : 230 245 120 123 130 123 100 78 VT : 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 VA : 125 105 85 80 80 60 75 90 WA : 7.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 WV : 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 WI : 165 165 110 100 95 85 90 85 WY : 38 39 19 23 19 22 19 21 : US : 19,461 19,821 13,054 13,250 10,881 10,839 10,105 10,164 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 105 75 71 485 200 41 590 275 47 CO : 180 130 72 610 590 97 790 720 91 IL : 450 420 93 3,750 3,530 94 4,200 3,950 94 IN : 340 320 94 2,860 2,780 97 3,200 3,100 97 IA : 1,120 1,060 95 13,980 13,940 100 15,100 15,000 99 KS : 170 160 94 1,430 1,310 92 1,600 1,470 92 MI : 120 100 83 840 770 92 960 870 91 MN : 570 600 105 5,230 5,500 105 5,800 6,100 105 MO : 370 360 97 2,580 2,590 100 2,950 2,950 100 NE : 390 380 97 2,610 2,520 97 3,000 2,900 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 8,600 98 9,800 9,600 98 OH : 165 160 97 1,305 1,280 98 1,470 1,440 98 OK : 330 340 103 1,960 2,030 104 2,290 2,370 103 PA : 130 125 96 960 945 98 1,090 1,070 98 SD : 150 145 97 1,120 1,155 103 1,270 1,300 102 TX : 100 105 105 810 785 97 910 890 98 WI : 60 60 100 440 440 100 500 500 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 486 481 99 3,241 3,221 99 3,728 3,702 99 : US : 6,236 6,021 97 53,011 52,186 98 59,248 58,207 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 250 130 65 20 80 20 90 30 CO : 330 305 95 85 70 85 115 115 IL : 1,330 1,270 940 860 820 780 660 620 IN : 1,040 1,040 720 660 580 560 520 520 IA : 4,360 4,290 3,800 3,810 3,220 3,140 2,600 2,700 KS : 490 430 270 250 290 250 380 380 MI : 310 270 215 190 165 165 150 145 MN : 2,070 2,110 1,330 1,320 1,060 1,190 770 880 MO : 1,120 1,230 630 570 520 480 310 310 NE : 1,070 1,000 680 640 500 485 360 395 NC : 3,450 3,350 2,000 2,000 1,850 1,800 1,500 1,450 OH : 545 525 310 305 290 280 160 170 OK : 860 880 310 350 280 290 510 510 PA : 345 340 255 245 200 175 160 185 SD : 375 380 295 295 265 270 185 210 TX : 265 220 175 210 165 155 205 200 WI : 165 165 105 100 90 90 80 85 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,112 1,155 780 745 727 704 622 617 : US : 19,487 19,090 12,975 12,655 11,172 10,919 9,377 9,522 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 75 75 495 195 39 595 270 45 CO : 150 120 80 600 610 102 750 730 97 IL : 450 420 93 3,800 3,630 96 4,250 4,050 95 IN : 330 310 94 2,870 2,740 95 3,200 3,050 95 IA : 1,130 1,050 93 14,470 14,750 102 15,600 15,800 101 KS : 165 165 100 1,385 1,345 97 1,550 1,510 97 MI : 110 100 91 810 830 102 920 930 101 MN : 580 600 103 5,320 5,700 107 5,900 6,300 107 MO : 380 340 89 2,670 2,560 96 3,050 2,900 95 NE : 395 375 95 2,555 2,575 101 2,950 2,950 100 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,900 8,800 99 9,900 9,800 99 OH : 170 155 91 1,330 1,305 98 1,500 1,460 97 OK : 320 350 109 2,120 1,940 92 2,440 2,290 94 PA : 130 120 92 940 930 99 1,070 1,050 98 SD : 140 145 104 1,130 1,185 105 1,270 1,330 105 TX : 105 110 105 885 800 90 990 910 92 WI : 65 55 85 465 425 91 530 480 91 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 489 470 96 3,333 3,306 99 3,823 3,776 99 : US : 6,209 5,960 96 54,078 53,626 99 60,288 59,586 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 255 120 65 25 80 25 95 25 CO : 305 320 95 90 90 85 110 115 IL : 1,400 1,330 970 890 780 780 650 630 IN : 1,040 990 740 650 570 570 520 530 IA : 4,570 4,910 4,050 3,950 3,250 3,190 2,600 2,700 KS : 510 445 310 285 245 255 320 360 MI : 310 310 205 210 155 165 140 145 MN : 2,080 2,300 1,380 1,390 1,100 1,180 760 830 MO : 1,180 1,250 640 530 510 470 340 310 NE : 1,050 1,030 660 680 470 490 375 375 NC : 3,600 3,750 2,150 2,100 1,700 1,650 1,450 1,300 OH : 530 540 335 315 290 275 175 175 OK : 920 870 300 280 290 270 610 520 PA : 345 350 245 220 180 180 170 180 SD : 405 380 300 305 250 280 175 220 TX : 290 275 235 150 160 135 200 240 WI : 165 175 120 90 95 85 85 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,231 1,147 788 818 669 702 645 639 : US : 20,186 20,492 13,588 12,978 10,884 10,787 9,420 9,369 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 90 80 89 455 200 44 545 280 51 CO : 145 110 76 615 630 102 760 740 97 IL : 430 420 98 3,820 3,480 91 4,250 3,900 92 IN : 330 300 91 2,870 2,700 94 3,200 3,000 94 IA : 1,100 1,030 94 14,500 14,770 102 15,600 15,800 101 KS : 160 165 103 1,400 1,485 106 1,560 1,650 106 MI : 120 100 83 820 800 98 940 900 96 MN : 580 600 103 5,520 5,800 105 6,100 6,400 105 MO : 350 330 94 2,600 2,570 99 2,950 2,900 98 NE : 360 375 104 2,540 2,625 103 2,900 3,000 103 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 9,200 9,100 99 10,200 10,100 99 OH : 160 155 97 1,330 1,295 97 1,490 1,450 97 OK : 330 360 109 2,150 2,070 96 2,480 2,430 98 PA : 125 120 96 945 1,010 107 1,070 1,130 106 SD : 140 135 96 1,180 1,125 95 1,320 1,260 95 TX : 100 95 95 900 825 92 1,000 920 92 WI : 55 60 109 425 440 104 480 500 104 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 479 467 97 3,400 3,276 96 3,880 3,743 96 : US : 6,054 5,902 97 54,670 54,201 99 60,725 60,103 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 225 110 65 35 75 30 90 25 CO : 310 325 95 95 90 90 120 120 IL : 1,390 1,270 960 860 790 770 680 580 IN : 1,050 1,000 720 680 570 540 530 480 IA : 4,490 4,560 4,040 4,100 3,160 3,300 2,810 2,810 KS : 485 490 260 340 240 235 415 420 MI : 315 290 210 205 160 160 135 145 MN : 2,170 2,230 1,410 1,510 1,140 1,230 800 830 MO : 1,190 1,220 550 550 470 480 390 320 NE : 1,000 1,030 650 690 500 500 390 405 NC : 3,600 3,550 2,300 2,350 1,800 1,850 1,500 1,350 OH : 540 545 320 330 280 265 190 155 OK : 890 950 370 300 340 290 550 530 PA : 340 360 250 240 180 200 175 210 SD : 400 370 320 305 270 260 190 190 TX : 265 290 240 160 195 150 200 225 WI : 160 175 100 100 75 85 90 80 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,250 1,097 795 820 684 718 671 641 : US : 20,070 19,862 13,655 13,670 11,019 11,153 9,926 9,516 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- -- 1,000 Head -- Percent : AL : 24.0 25.0 104 9.04 8.80 217.0 220.0 101 AK : 0.26 0.32 123 9.15 9.28 2.38 2.97 125 AZ : 33.0 30.0 91 7.91 8.33 261.0 250.0 96 AR : 200 147 74 9.53 9.63 1,905 1,416 74 CA : 34.0 33.0 97 8.68 9.45 295.0 312.0 106 CO : 305 269 88 8.46 8.49 2,581 2,283 88 CT : 0.80 0.80 100 8.00 8.10 6.40 6.48 101 DE : 8.00 6.00 75 7.00 8.67 56.00 52.00 93 FL : 14.00 10.00 71 7.00 7.00 98.00 70.00 71 GA : 101.0 95.0 94 8.84 8.81 893.0 837.0 94 HI : 4.50 4.30 96 7.11 7.21 32.00 31.00 97 ID : 5.60 6.00 107 7.50 8.17 42.00 49.00 117 IL : 855 825 96 8.64 8.86 7,386 7,312 99 IN : 615 590 96 8.74 8.90 5,375 5,252 98 IA : 1,750 1,750 100 8.61 8.68 15,070 15,187 101 KS : 322 317 98 8.66 8.62 2,787 2,731 98 KY : 91.0 74.0 81 8.58 8.58 781.0 635.0 81 LA : 4.60 4.60 100 6.96 7.39 32.00 34.00 106 ME : 2.00 1.90 95 6.50 7.00 13.00 13.30 102 MD : 9.00 8.00 89 7.78 8.00 70.00 64.00 91 MA : 2.80 2.70 96 7.39 7.96 20.70 21.48 104 MI : 197 185 94 9.00 8.90 1,773 1,646 93 MN : 1,065 1,095 103 8.88 8.91 9,453 9,761 103 MS : 59.0 60.0 102 8.51 8.60 502.0 516.0 103 MO : 700 685 98 8.88 8.90 6,214 6,099 98 MT : 38.0 37.0 97 9.16 9.14 348.0 338.0 97 NE : 680 705 104 8.96 8.86 6,095 6,248 103 NV : 0.80 0.71 89 8.20 7.68 6.56 5.45 83 NH : 0.90 0.80 89 8.50 6.50 7.65 5.20 68 NJ : 2.10 0.80 38 8.38 7.00 17.60 5.60 32 NM : 0.40 0.40 100 7.25 7.50 2.90 3.00 103 NY : 14.50 14.00 97 8.62 9.14 125.00 128.00 102 NC : 2,180 2,160 99 9.01 9.03 19,649 19,494 99 ND : 52.5 47.0 90 8.46 8.94 444.0 420.0 95 OH : 300 295 98 8.91 8.90 2,673 2,626 98 OK : 670 710 106 8.94 8.85 5,989 6,284 105 OR : 6.20 6.40 103 8.71 8.44 54.00 54.00 100 PA : 213 200 94 8.87 9.38 1,890 1,876 99 RI : 0.70 0.60 86 6.50 7.00 4.55 4.20 92 SC : 57.0 53.0 93 8.96 9.00 511.0 477.0 93 SD : 270 267 99 8.93 9.14 2,412 2,440 101 TN : 53.0 51.0 96 8.32 8.41 441.0 429.0 97 TX : 184 173 94 8.93 8.71 1,643 1,506 92 UT : 137.0 135.0 99 9.07 9.36 1,242.0 1,263.0 102 VT : 0.60 0.50 83 8.50 7.50 5.10 3.75 74 VA : 60.0 61.0 102 9.13 9.38 548.0 572.0 104 WA : 5.00 4.50 90 8.40 8.44 42.00 38.00 90 WV : 2.20 2.50 114 7.95 7.40 17.50 18.50 106 WI : 111 112 101 8.52 8.65 946 969 102 WY : 42.0 44.0 105 8.69 9.02 365.0 397.0 109 : US : 11,483 11,306 98 8.83 8.88 101,344 100,406 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2002-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2004 4/ : Per Litter : : 2003 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2002 : 2003 : :as % of: : : 2002 : :as % of : : :Number : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 41 35 85 9.20 9.70 478 398 83 CO : 79 75 65 87 8.40 8.35 664 626 94 IL : 210 200 200 100 8.55 8.85 1,796 1,770 99 IN : 155 150 135 90 8.70 8.85 1,349 1,328 98 IA : 420 410 450 110 8.60 8.50 3,612 3,485 96 KS : 79 76 82 108 8.40 8.50 664 646 97 MI : 50 43 50 116 9.00 8.80 450 378 84 MN : 260 265 270 102 8.80 8.80 2,288 2,332 102 MO : 170 170 165 97 8.85 8.85 1,505 1,505 100 NE : 170 175 170 97 8.80 8.75 1,496 1,531 102 NC : 540 530 540 102 8.95 9.00 4,833 4,770 99 OH : 74 73 74 101 8.95 8.90 662 650 98 OK : 170 170 175 103 8.75 8.80 1,488 1,496 101 PA : 53 49 51 104 8.80 9.30 466 456 98 SD : 70 64 70 109 8.90 9.05 623 579 93 TX : 43 43 44 102 9.00 8.75 387 376 97 WI : 28 29 24 83 8.45 8.60 237 249 105 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 213 202 206 102 8.43 8.84 1,796 1,784 99 : US : 2,836 2,765 2,806 101 8.74 8.81 24,794 24,359 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2004 3/ : per Litter : : 2003 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2002 : 2003 : :as % of: : : 2002 : :as % of : : :Number : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 36 32 89 9.60 9.70 499 349 70 CO : 76 67 63 94 8.50 8.50 646 570 88 IL : 225 215 205 95 8.60 8.90 1,935 1,914 99 IN : 155 145 135 93 8.80 8.95 1,364 1,298 95 IA : 470 470 460 98 8.55 8.70 4,019 4,089 102 KS : 82 83 82 99 8.75 8.50 718 706 98 MI : 50 46 50 109 8.85 9.00 443 414 93 MN : 270 280 275 98 8.95 8.95 2,417 2,506 104 MO : 180 170 170 100 8.95 8.70 1,611 1,479 92 NE : 175 180 175 97 9.00 8.90 1,575 1,602 102 NC : 550 540 550 102 9.00 9.00 4,950 4,860 98 OH : 75 73 75 103 8.95 9.00 671 657 98 OK : 165 175 175 100 8.85 8.90 1,460 1,558 107 PA : 54 49 52 106 8.70 9.30 470 456 97 SD : 70 68 70 103 8.80 9.10 616 619 100 TX : 45 49 45 92 8.90 9.00 401 441 110 WI : 29 28 25 89 8.55 8.75 248 245 99 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 220 207 207 100 8.69 8.81 1,916 1,820 95 : US : 2,943 2,881 2,846 99 8.82 8.88 25,959 25,583 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 35 67 9.55 9.60 497 336 68 CO : 75 67 89 8.35 8.70 626 583 93 IL : 210 205 98 8.75 8.85 1,838 1,814 99 IN : 155 150 97 8.70 8.95 1,349 1,343 100 IA : 430 430 100 8.80 8.70 3,784 3,741 99 KS : 82 77 94 8.75 8.75 718 674 94 MI : 55 45 82 9.05 9.00 498 405 81 MN : 265 270 102 8.85 8.90 2,345 2,403 102 MO : 175 170 97 8.90 8.95 1,558 1,522 98 NE : 165 175 106 9.00 8.80 1,485 1,540 104 NC : 560 550 98 9.10 9.00 5,096 4,950 97 OH : 78 75 96 8.90 8.90 694 668 96 OK : 170 180 106 9.05 9.00 1,539 1,620 105 PA : 53 51 96 9.00 9.40 477 479 100 SD : 69 65 94 9.05 9.30 624 605 97 TX : 50 48 96 8.95 8.70 448 418 93 WI : 26 29 112 8.35 8.60 217 249 115 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 217 203 94 8.80 8.88 1,907 1,800 94 : US : 2,887 2,825 98 8.90 8.90 25,700 25,150 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 35 80 9.80 9.50 431 333 77 CO : 75 60 80 8.60 8.40 645 504 78 IL : 210 205 98 8.65 8.85 1,817 1,814 100 IN : 150 145 97 8.75 8.85 1,313 1,283 98 IA : 430 440 102 8.50 8.80 3,655 3,872 106 KS : 79 81 103 8.70 8.70 687 705 103 MI : 42 51 121 9.10 8.80 382 449 118 MN : 270 280 104 8.90 9.00 2,403 2,520 105 MO : 175 175 100 8.80 9.10 1,540 1,593 103 NE : 170 175 103 9.05 9.00 1,539 1,575 102 NC : 530 540 102 9.00 9.10 4,770 4,914 103 OH : 73 74 101 8.85 8.80 646 651 101 OK : 165 185 112 9.10 8.70 1,502 1,610 107 PA : 53 51 96 9.00 9.50 477 485 102 SD : 61 70 115 9.00 9.10 549 637 116 TX : 46 33 72 8.85 8.20 407 271 67 WI : 28 26 93 8.70 8.70 244 226 93 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 216 210 97 8.71 8.93 1,885 1,872 99 : US : 2,817 2,836 101 8.83 8.93 24,892 25,314 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1 or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- ---- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 923 908 8.66 8.75 7,994 7,943 Jan : 946 930 8.73 8.82 8,257 8,205 Feb : 967 927 8.83 8.86 8,543 8,211 Mar : 978 938 8.80 8.85 8,608 8,301 Apr : 983 968 8.85 8.88 8,700 8,596 May : 982 975 8.81 8.91 8,651 8,686 Jun : 960 936 8.89 8.91 8,537 8,341 Jul : 968 946 8.89 8.90 8,609 8,422 Aug : 959 943 8.92 8.89 8,554 8,387 Sep : 951 962 8.85 8.91 8,416 8,574 Oct : 940 950 8.83 8.93 8,300 8,486 Nov : 926 924 8.83 8.93 8,176 8,254 : Total : 11,483 11,306 8.83 8.88 101,344 100,406 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of December 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 14,400 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 11,900 operations, 83 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of December by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of December 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 60.0 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.8 percent. Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.0 1.8 1,081 514 40 1,230 7 13 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.4 2.4 608 235 0 933 12 8 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.1 87 34 1 158 13 7 : Following : Quarter : 2.1 3.7 105 48 1 146 13 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-November . . . . 14 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February . . . . 16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August . . . . . . . 18 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May . . . . . . . . 17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November. . . . 19 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States5 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1. . . . . . . . .6 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1. . . . . . . . . . 10 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1 . . . . . . . . . .8 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1 . . . . . . . 12 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1. . . . . . . . . .7 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1. . . . . . . . . . . 11 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1 . . . . . . . . . . .9 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1 . . . . . . . . 13 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . 20 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States. . . .5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . 21 The next "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on March 26, 2004. 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