Mt An 4 (3-04) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 26, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Dan Lofthus at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up 2 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2004, was 59.3 million head. This was 2 percent above March 1, 2003, but 2 percent below December 1, 2003. Breeding inventory, at 5.92 million head, was down 2 percent from March 1, 2003, and down 1 percent from last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 53.4 million head, was 2 percent above last year, but 2 percent below last quarter. The December 2003 - February 2004 U.S. pig crop, at 24.9 million head, was 2 percent more than 2003, and up slightly from 2002. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.81 million head, 2 percent above last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 47 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 8.85 for the December 2003 - February 2004 period, compared to 8.81 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.85 million sows farrow during the March-May 2004 quarter, 1 percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 2003, and 3 percent below 2002. Intended farrowings for June-August 2004, at 2.85 million sows, are 2 percent below the same period in 2003 and 1 percent below 2002. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 38 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 35 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2003 through December 2003 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, adjustments of less than one-half of one percent were made to the March 2003 and June 2003 total inventories. An adjustment of one percent was made to the September 2003 and December 2003 total inventories. An adjustment of less than one-half of one percent was made to the December 2002-February 2003 pig crop, March-May 2003 pig crop, and September-November 2003 pig crop. The June-August 2003 pig crop was adjusted three percent. NASS has completed the 5-year historical review for March 1998 through December 2002. To ensure the continuity and availability of estimates to data users, December 1, 2003, breeding inventory, market inventory, and farrowings have been published on pages 13, 14, and 19 with any revisions. Final estimates were released on Monday, March 22, 2004, in the NASS Statistical Bulletin Number 986, Hogs and Pigs - Final Estimates 1998-2002. This report was approved on March 26, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Bill Hawks Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2004 as % of Item : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :------------- : : : : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,256 58,183 59,315 100 102 Kept for Breeding : 6,230 6,017 5,915 95 98 Market : 53,026 52,166 53,399 101 102 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,560 19,086 19,679 101 103 60-119 Pounds : 12,938 12,649 12,993 100 103 120-179 Pounds : 11,148 10,915 11,088 99 102 180 Pounds and Over : 9,380 9,516 9,641 103 101 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,391 59,602 Kept for Breeding : 6,208 6,006 Market : 54,183 53,596 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,226 20,433 60-119 Pounds : 13,539 12,972 120-179 Pounds : 10,906 10,828 180 Pounds and Over : 9,512 9,363 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,753 60,829 Kept for Breeding : 6,051 5,898 Market : 54,702 54,931 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,038 20,358 60-119 Pounds : 13,632 13,729 120-179 Pounds : 11,113 11,334 180 Pounds and Over : 9,919 9,510 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,554 60,389 Kept for Breeding : 6,058 5,965 Market : 53,496 54,423 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,485 19,744 60-119 Pounds : 13,033 13,259 120-179 Pounds : 10,875 11,110 180 Pounds and Over : 10,103 10,312 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2004 as % of Item : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :--------------- : : : : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,835 2,769 2,814 99 102 Mar-May 3/ : 2,941 2,885 2,852 97 99 Dec-May 2/ 4/ : 5,776 5,655 5,666 98 100 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,883 2,906 2,851 99 98 Sep-Nov : 2,833 2,841 Jun-Nov : 5,716 5,746 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 24,857 24,399 24,895 100 102 Mar-May : 26,001 25,627 Dec-May 2/ : 50,858 50,027 : Jun-Aug : 25,725 25,869 Sep-Nov : 25,094 25,359 Jun-Nov : 50,820 51,227 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.77 8.81 8.85 101 100 Mar-May : 8.84 8.88 Dec-May 2/ : 8.81 8.85 : Jun-Aug : 8.92 8.90 Sep-Nov : 8.86 8.93 Jun-Nov : 8.89 8.91 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2004. 4/ Actual farrowings for December 2003-February 2004 plus intentions for March-May 2004. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2003 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.70 8.10 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.00 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.70 8.70 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.60 8.00 8.30 8.60 8.70 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.30 7.70 8.20 8.50 8.60 9.00 : 2004 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 7.90 8.20 8.60 8.70 9.00 Mar-May : Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 75 85 113 200 230 115 275 315 115 CO : 130 115 88 590 525 89 720 640 89 IL : 420 410 98 3,530 3,440 97 3,950 3,850 97 IN : 320 300 94 2,780 2,800 101 3,100 3,100 100 IA : 1,060 1,040 98 13,940 14,460 104 15,000 15,500 103 KS : 160 170 106 1,310 1,550 118 1,470 1,720 117 MI : 100 100 100 770 830 108 870 930 107 MN : 600 600 100 5,500 5,800 105 6,100 6,400 105 MO : 360 330 92 2,590 2,570 99 2,950 2,900 98 NE : 380 360 95 2,520 2,490 99 2,900 2,850 98 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,600 8,900 103 9,600 9,900 103 OH : 160 160 100 1,280 1,360 106 1,440 1,520 106 OK : 340 350 103 2,030 2,000 99 2,370 2,350 99 PA : 125 120 96 945 910 96 1,070 1,030 96 SD : 145 145 100 1,155 1,095 95 1,300 1,240 95 TX : 105 110 105 785 810 103 890 920 103 WI : 60 55 92 440 395 90 500 450 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 465 98 3,201 3,234 101 3,678 3,700 101 : US : 6,017 5,915 98 52,166 53,399 102 58,183 59,315 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 130 135 20 30 20 30 30 35 CO : 305 290 85 60 85 65 115 110 IL : 1,270 1,260 860 820 780 750 620 610 IN : 1,040 1,010 660 660 560 610 520 520 IA : 4,290 4,510 3,810 4,000 3,140 3,250 2,700 2,700 KS : 430 530 250 285 250 310 380 425 MI : 270 300 190 205 165 175 145 150 MN : 2,110 2,200 1,320 1,420 1,190 1,200 880 980 MO : 1,230 1,270 570 510 480 470 310 320 NE : 1,000 980 640 640 485 460 395 410 NC : 3,350 3,500 2,000 2,200 1,800 1,800 1,450 1,400 OH : 525 550 305 320 280 290 170 200 OK : 880 940 350 310 290 240 510 510 PA : 340 300 245 240 175 205 185 165 SD : 380 375 295 245 270 265 210 210 TX : 220 265 210 180 155 195 200 170 WI : 165 155 100 90 90 75 85 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,151 1,109 739 778 700 698 611 651 : US : 19,086 19,679 12,649 12,993 10,915 11,088 9,516 9,641 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 75 75 495 195 39 595 270 45 CO : 150 125 83 610 605 99 760 730 96 IL : 450 420 93 3,850 3,630 94 4,300 4,050 94 IN : 330 310 94 2,870 2,740 95 3,200 3,050 95 IA : 1,130 1,070 95 14,470 14,730 102 15,600 15,800 101 KS : 165 165 100 1,395 1,345 96 1,560 1,510 97 MI : 110 100 91 810 830 102 920 930 101 MN : 580 600 103 5,420 5,700 105 6,000 6,300 105 MO : 380 340 89 2,620 2,560 98 3,000 2,900 97 NE : 395 380 96 2,555 2,570 101 2,950 2,950 100 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,900 8,800 99 9,900 9,800 99 OH : 170 160 94 1,330 1,300 98 1,500 1,460 97 OK : 320 360 113 2,130 1,940 91 2,450 2,300 94 PA : 130 120 92 940 940 100 1,070 1,060 99 SD : 140 145 104 1,130 1,185 105 1,270 1,330 105 TX : 105 110 105 885 800 90 990 910 92 WI : 65 60 92 465 420 90 530 480 91 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 488 466 96 3,308 3,306 100 3,796 3,772 99 : US : 6,208 6,006 97 54,183 53,596 99 60,391 59,602 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 255 120 65 25 80 25 95 25 CO : 305 315 95 90 95 85 115 115 IL : 1,400 1,330 970 890 800 780 680 630 IN : 1,040 990 740 650 570 570 520 530 IA : 4,570 4,890 4,050 3,950 3,250 3,190 2,600 2,700 KS : 510 445 310 285 245 255 330 360 MI : 310 310 205 210 155 165 140 145 MN : 2,110 2,300 1,400 1,390 1,100 1,180 810 830 MO : 1,200 1,250 580 530 500 470 340 310 NE : 1,050 1,020 660 680 470 495 375 375 NC : 3,600 3,750 2,150 2,100 1,700 1,650 1,450 1,300 OH : 530 535 335 315 290 275 175 175 OK : 920 860 300 280 295 280 615 520 PA : 345 350 245 220 180 190 170 180 SD : 405 380 300 305 250 280 175 220 TX : 290 275 235 150 160 135 200 240 WI : 165 170 120 90 95 85 85 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,221 1,143 779 812 671 718 637 633 : US : 20,226 20,433 13,539 12,972 10,906 10,828 9,512 9,363 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 90 80 89 455 200 44 545 280 51 CO : 145 110 76 615 630 102 760 740 97 IL : 430 420 98 3,820 3,530 92 4,250 3,950 93 IN : 330 300 91 2,870 2,750 96 3,200 3,050 95 IA : 1,100 1,030 94 14,500 15,070 104 15,600 16,100 103 KS : 160 165 103 1,410 1,505 107 1,570 1,670 106 MI : 120 100 83 820 820 100 940 920 98 MN : 580 600 103 5,620 5,900 105 6,200 6,500 105 MO : 350 330 94 2,550 2,570 101 2,900 2,900 100 NE : 360 375 104 2,540 2,675 105 2,900 3,050 105 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 9,200 9,200 100 10,200 10,200 100 OH : 160 155 97 1,340 1,325 99 1,500 1,480 99 OK : 330 360 109 2,160 2,070 96 2,490 2,430 98 PA : 125 120 96 955 1,010 106 1,080 1,130 105 SD : 140 135 96 1,180 1,155 98 1,320 1,290 98 TX : 100 95 95 900 825 92 1,000 920 92 WI : 55 60 109 425 440 104 480 500 104 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 476 463 97 3,342 3,256 97 3,818 3,719 97 : US : 6,051 5,898 97 54,702 54,931 100 60,753 60,829 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 225 110 65 35 75 30 90 25 CO : 310 325 95 95 90 90 120 120 IL : 1,390 1,310 960 870 790 770 680 580 IN : 1,050 1,030 720 690 570 550 530 480 IA : 4,490 4,760 4,040 4,100 3,160 3,400 2,810 2,810 KS : 485 500 260 350 250 235 415 420 MI : 315 300 210 210 160 165 135 145 MN : 2,170 2,300 1,450 1,510 1,200 1,260 800 830 MO : 1,180 1,220 510 550 470 480 390 320 NE : 1,000 1,060 650 700 500 510 390 405 NC : 3,600 3,650 2,300 2,350 1,800 1,850 1,500 1,350 OH : 540 545 320 345 290 280 190 155 OK : 890 950 370 300 350 290 550 530 PA : 340 360 250 240 190 200 175 210 SD : 400 380 320 310 270 275 190 190 TX : 265 290 240 160 195 150 200 225 WI : 160 175 100 100 75 85 90 80 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,228 1,093 772 814 678 714 664 635 : US : 20,038 20,358 13,632 13,729 11,113 11,334 9,919 9,510 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AL : 12 15 125 153 150 98 165 165 100 AK : 0.3 0.4 133 0.9 1.1 122 1.2 1.5 125 AZ : 14 16 114 124 111 90 138 127 92 AR : 80 85 106 225 225 100 305 310 102 CA : 22 20 91 128 115 90 150 135 90 CO : 160 110 69 630 580 92 790 690 87 CT : 0.8 0.7 88 3.2 3.3 103 4.0 4.0 100 DE : 3.5 3.0 86 9.5 9.0 95 13.0 12.0 92 FL : 7.0 5.0 71 28.0 25.0 89 35.0 30.0 86 GA : 50 48 96 295 247 84 345 295 86 HI : 5.0 5.0 100 19.0 18.0 95 24.0 23.0 96 ID : 3.0 4.0 133 19.0 22.0 116 22.0 26.0 118 IL : 430 410 95 3,720 3,590 97 4,150 4,000 96 IN : 330 300 91 2,920 2,800 96 3,250 3,100 95 IA : 1,100 1,060 96 14,400 14,840 103 15,500 15,900 103 KS : 160 160 100 1,370 1,490 109 1,530 1,650 108 KY : 40 45 113 320 335 105 360 380 106 LA : 3.0 3.0 100 17.0 17.0 100 20.0 20.0 100 ME : 1.3 1.3 100 3.7 4.2 114 5.0 5.5 110 MD : 6.0 6.0 100 29.0 29.0 100 35.0 35.0 100 MA : 2.0 1.8 90 12.0 10.2 85 14.0 12.0 86 MI : 100 110 110 770 840 109 870 950 109 MN : 580 600 103 5,520 5,900 107 6,100 6,500 107 MS : 29 28 97 246 277 113 275 305 111 MO : 360 340 94 2,590 2,610 101 2,950 2,950 100 MT : 20 18 90 155 152 98 175 170 97 NE : 365 370 101 2,635 2,530 96 3,000 2,900 97 NV : 1.0 1.0 100 4.5 4.5 100 5.5 5.5 100 NH : 0.8 0.8 100 2.4 2.1 88 3.2 2.9 91 NJ : 2.0 1.0 50 13.0 11.0 85 15.0 12.0 80 NM : 0.4 0.4 100 2.6 2.1 81 3.0 2.5 83 NY : 9.0 9.0 100 77.0 64.0 83 86.0 73.0 85 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,700 9,000 103 9,700 10,000 103 ND : 24 30 125 120 120 100 144 150 104 OH : 155 160 103 1,285 1,360 106 1,440 1,520 106 OK : 330 360 109 1,910 2,020 106 2,240 2,380 106 OR : 5.0 6.0 120 21.0 21.0 100 26.0 27.0 104 PA : 130 120 92 1,000 990 99 1,130 1,110 98 RI : 0.6 0.5 83 1.7 1.5 88 2.3 2.0 87 SC : 30 30 100 270 270 100 300 300 100 SD : 140 145 104 1,190 1,135 95 1,330 1,280 96 TN : 30 25 83 195 190 97 225 215 96 TX : 105 105 100 825 825 100 930 930 100 UT : 90 91 101 580 569 98 670 660 99 VT : 0.4 0.4 100 1.6 1.4 88 2.0 1.8 90 VA : 35 35 100 365 345 95 400 380 95 WA : 4.0 4.0 100 25.0 23.0 92 29.0 27.0 93 WV : 2.0 2.0 100 10.0 8.0 80 12.0 10.0 83 WI : 60 55 92 460 425 92 520 480 92 WY : 20 19 95 95 105 111 115 124 108 : US : 6,058 5,965 98 53,496 54,423 102 59,554 60,389 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AL : 67 65 29 30 28 27 29 28 AK : 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 AZ : 43 32 29 27 26 26 26 26 AR : 115 120 40 30 35 30 35 45 CA : 39 35 32 25 29 28 28 27 CO : 350 305 90 70 80 70 110 135 CT : 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 DE : 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 FL : 13.0 13.0 9.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 GA : 138 114 67 56 50 42 40 35 HI : 8.0 8.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 ID : 7.0 7.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 IL : 1,320 1,280 920 860 800 770 680 680 IN : 1,040 990 710 670 620 580 550 560 IA : 4,350 4,510 3,900 4,130 3,200 3,200 2,950 3,000 KS : 440 510 320 285 290 280 320 415 KY : 110 110 80 90 70 70 60 65 LA : 6.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 ME : 2.2 2.3 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 MD : 8.0 9.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 7.0 9.0 7.0 MA : 3.9 3.3 3.8 2.8 2.6 2.4 1.7 1.7 MI : 285 300 180 205 155 175 150 160 MN : 2,110 2,210 1,350 1,420 1,130 1,250 930 1,020 MS : 90 34 59 81 50 81 47 81 MO : 1,190 1,280 530 530 480 460 390 340 MT : 51 50 39 37 34 35 31 30 NE : 1,040 960 690 650 500 490 405 430 NV : 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 NH : 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 NJ : 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 NM : 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 NY : 30.0 24.0 17.0 15.0 15.0 13.0 15.0 12.0 NC : 3,450 3,550 2,050 2,200 1,700 1,750 1,500 1,500 ND : 48 50 29 30 23 21 20 19 OH : 525 540 310 330 275 280 175 210 OK : 910 920 260 320 160 320 580 460 OR : 8.0 8.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 PA : 355 350 250 235 200 195 195 210 RI : 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 SC : 65 65 70 70 55 60 80 75 SD : 370 385 310 250 280 280 230 220 TN : 75 77 42 43 42 36 36 34 TX : 240 245 240 195 180 200 165 185 UT : 230 245 120 123 130 123 100 78 VT : 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 VA : 125 105 85 80 80 70 75 90 WA : 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 WV : 4.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 WI : 165 165 110 95 95 85 90 80 WY : 38 39 19 23 19 22 19 21 : US : 19,485 19,744 13,033 13,259 10,875 11,110 10,103 10,312 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2003-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 38 93 9.70 9.60 398 365 92 CO : 75 60 80 8.35 8.00 626 480 77 IL : 200 205 103 8.85 8.85 1,770 1,814 102 IN : 150 145 97 8.85 8.85 1,328 1,283 97 IA : 410 400 98 8.50 8.70 3,485 3,480 100 KS : 76 84 111 8.50 8.70 646 731 113 MI : 43 45 105 8.80 8.90 378 401 106 MN : 265 285 108 8.80 9.05 2,332 2,579 111 MO : 170 170 100 8.85 9.00 1,505 1,530 102 NE : 180 175 97 8.75 8.90 1,575 1,558 99 NC : 530 550 104 9.00 8.95 4,770 4,923 103 OH : 73 74 101 8.90 8.80 650 651 100 OK : 170 185 109 8.80 8.60 1,496 1,591 106 PA : 49 53 108 9.30 8.50 456 451 99 SD : 64 70 109 9.05 9.20 579 644 111 TX : 43 46 107 8.75 8.40 376 386 103 WI : 29 24 83 8.60 8.80 249 211 85 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 201 205 102 8.84 8.86 1,780 1,817 102 : US : 2,769 2,814 102 8.81 8.85 24,399 24,895 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1 or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2004 3/ : per Litter : : 2003 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2002 : 2003 : :as % of: : : 2002 : :as % of : : :Number : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 36 45 125 9.60 9.70 499 349 70 CO : 76 67 63 94 8.50 8.50 646 570 88 IL : 220 215 205 95 8.80 8.90 1,936 1,914 99 IN : 155 145 140 97 8.80 8.95 1,364 1,298 95 IA : 470 470 430 91 8.55 8.70 4,019 4,089 102 KS : 82 83 85 102 8.75 8.50 718 706 98 MI : 49 46 47 102 8.85 9.00 434 414 95 MN : 270 280 285 102 8.95 8.95 2,417 2,506 104 MO : 180 170 165 97 9.05 8.70 1,629 1,479 91 NE : 185 185 175 95 9.00 8.90 1,665 1,647 99 NC : 550 540 550 102 9.00 9.00 4,950 4,860 98 OH : 75 73 76 104 8.95 9.00 671 657 98 OK : 165 175 180 103 8.85 8.90 1,460 1,558 107 PA : 53 49 54 110 8.70 9.30 461 456 99 SD : 69 68 72 106 8.80 9.10 607 619 102 TX : 45 49 51 104 8.90 9.00 401 441 110 WI : 29 28 23 82 8.55 8.75 248 245 99 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 216 206 206 100 8.70 8.82 1,876 1,819 97 : US : 2,941 2,885 2,852 99 8.84 8.88 26,001 25,627 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1 or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2004 3/ : per Litter : : 2003 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2002 : 2003 : :as % of: : : 2002 : :as % of : : :Number : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 37 40 108 9.55 9.60 497 355 71 CO : 75 68 62 91 8.35 8.70 626 592 95 IL : 210 215 205 95 8.90 8.85 1,869 1,903 102 IN : 150 150 140 93 8.70 8.95 1,305 1,343 103 IA : 430 450 440 98 8.80 8.70 3,784 3,915 103 KS : 82 80 86 108 8.75 8.75 718 700 97 MI : 54 47 45 96 9.05 9.00 489 423 87 MN : 265 275 285 104 8.85 8.90 2,345 2,448 104 MO : 170 170 165 97 9.05 8.95 1,539 1,522 99 NE : 175 185 175 95 9.00 8.80 1,575 1,628 103 NC : 560 560 550 98 9.10 9.00 5,096 5,040 99 OH : 78 76 75 99 8.90 8.90 694 676 97 OK : 170 185 180 97 9.05 9.00 1,539 1,665 108 PA : 53 51 54 106 9.00 9.40 477 479 100 SD : 69 70 70 100 9.05 9.30 624 651 104 TX : 50 49 52 106 8.95 8.70 448 426 95 WI : 26 29 24 83 8.35 8.60 217 249 115 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 214 209 203 97 8.80 8.88 1,883 1,854 98 : US : 2,883 2,906 2,851 98 8.92 8.90 25,725 25,869 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1 or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 35 80 9.80 9.50 431 333 77 CO : 75 60 80 8.60 8.40 645 504 78 IL : 210 205 98 8.85 8.85 1,859 1,814 98 IN : 145 145 100 8.75 8.85 1,269 1,283 101 IA : 440 440 100 8.50 8.80 3,740 3,872 104 KS : 79 81 103 8.70 8.70 687 705 103 MI : 42 51 121 9.10 8.80 382 449 118 MN : 275 280 102 8.90 9.00 2,448 2,520 103 MO : 170 175 103 8.95 9.10 1,522 1,593 105 NE : 180 180 100 9.05 9.00 1,629 1,620 99 NC : 530 540 102 9.00 9.10 4,770 4,914 103 OH : 73 74 101 8.85 8.80 646 651 101 OK : 165 185 112 9.10 8.70 1,502 1,610 107 PA : 53 51 96 9.00 9.50 477 485 102 SD : 61 70 115 9.00 9.10 549 637 116 TX : 46 33 72 8.85 8.20 407 271 67 WI : 28 26 93 8.70 8.70 244 226 93 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 217 210 97 8.71 8.93 1,887 1,872 99 : US : 2,833 2,841 100 8.86 8.93 25,094 25,359 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1 or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- -- 1,000 Head -- Percent : AL : 24.0 25.0 104 9.04 8.80 217.0 220.0 101 AK : 0.26 0.32 123 9.15 9.28 2.38 2.97 125 AZ : 33.0 30.0 91 7.91 8.33 261.0 250.0 96 AR : 200 149 75 9.53 9.63 1,905 1,435 75 CA : 35.0 34.0 97 8.69 9.44 304.0 321.0 106 CO : 305 270 89 8.46 8.49 2,581 2,292 89 CT : 0.80 0.80 100 8.00 8.10 6.40 6.48 101 DE : 8.00 6.00 75 7.00 8.67 56.00 52.00 93 FL : 13.00 10.00 77 7.00 7.00 91.00 70.00 77 GA : 100.0 96.0 96 8.84 8.81 884.0 846.0 96 HI : 4.50 4.30 96 7.11 7.21 32.00 31.00 97 ID : 5.60 5.90 105 7.50 8.31 42.00 49.00 117 IL : 850 835 98 8.83 8.86 7,502 7,401 99 IN : 605 590 98 8.74 8.90 5,287 5,252 99 IA : 1,750 1,770 101 8.61 8.68 15,069 15,361 102 KS : 322 320 99 8.66 8.62 2,787 2,757 99 KY : 89.0 75.0 84 8.57 8.59 763.0 644.0 84 LA : 4.60 4.60 100 6.96 7.39 32.00 34.00 106 ME : 1.90 1.80 95 6.50 7.00 12.35 12.60 102 MD : 9.00 8.00 89 7.78 8.00 70.00 64.00 91 MA : 2.40 2.30 96 7.25 7.90 17.40 18.17 104 MI : 195 187 96 9.00 8.90 1,755 1,664 95 MN : 1,070 1,100 103 8.88 8.91 9,498 9,806 103 MS : 59.0 60.0 102 8.51 8.60 502.0 516.0 103 MO : 690 685 99 9.01 8.90 6,220 6,099 98 MT : 36.0 37.0 103 9.11 9.14 328.0 338.0 103 NE : 720 730 101 8.96 8.86 6,453 6,470 100 NV : 0.80 0.68 85 8.20 7.66 6.56 5.21 79 NH : 0.90 0.80 89 8.50 6.50 7.65 5.20 68 NJ : 2.10 0.80 38 8.38 7.00 17.60 5.60 32 NM : 0.40 0.40 100 7.25 7.50 2.90 3.00 103 NY : 14.50 14.00 97 8.62 9.14 125.00 128.00 102 NC : 2,180 2,170 100 9.01 9.02 19,649 19,584 100 ND : 52.5 48.0 91 8.46 8.94 444.0 429.0 97 OH : 300 296 99 8.91 8.90 2,673 2,634 99 OK : 670 715 107 8.94 8.85 5,989 6,329 106 OR : 6.20 6.40 103 8.71 8.44 54.00 54.00 100 PA : 212 200 94 8.87 9.38 1,881 1,876 100 RI : 0.60 0.50 83 6.50 7.00 3.90 3.50 90 SC : 57.0 53.0 93 8.96 9.00 511.0 477.0 93 SD : 269 272 101 8.93 9.14 2,403 2,486 103 TN : 51.0 51.0 100 8.33 8.41 425.0 429.0 101 TX : 184 174 95 8.93 8.70 1,643 1,514 92 UT : 137.0 136.0 99 9.07 9.35 1,242.0 1,272.0 102 VT : 0.50 0.50 100 8.50 7.50 4.25 3.75 88 VA : 60.0 61.0 102 9.13 9.38 548.0 572.0 104 WA : 5.00 4.50 90 8.40 8.44 42.00 38.00 90 WV : 2.20 2.50 114 7.95 7.40 17.50 18.50 106 WI : 111 112 101 8.52 8.65 946 969 102 WY : 42.0 45.0 107 8.69 9.02 365.0 406.0 111 : US : 11,492 11,401 99 8.85 8.88 101,678 101,254 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2003-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 907 925 8.75 8.84 7,940 8,176 Jan : 930 951 8.82 8.83 8,202 8,400 Feb : 932 938 8.86 8.87 8,257 8,319 Mar : 946 8.85 8,372 Apr : 966 8.88 8,581 May : 973 8.91 8,674 Jun : 961 8.91 8,567 Jul : 974 8.90 8,670 Aug : 971 8.89 8,632 Sep : 962 8.91 8,575 Oct : 949 8.93 8,478 Nov : 930 8.93 8,305 : Total : 11,401 8.88 101,254 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of March 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 11,600 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 9,500 operations, 82 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of March by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 59.3 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.9 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.1 1.9 1,127 571 38 1,208 7 13 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.6 2.7 675 297 5 926 10 10 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.9 3.3 94 40 2 158 11 9 : Following : Quarter : 2.3 3.9 228 51 2 146 12 8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-November . . . . 19 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States5 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February. . . . 15 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August. . . . . . . 17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May. . . . . . . . 16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November . . . 18 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . 13 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . .9 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . .7 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1. . . . . . . 11 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . 14 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 10 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . .8 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . 12 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . 20 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States . . . .5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . 21 The next "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on June 25, 2004. 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