Mt An 4 (6-09) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 26, 2009, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory down 2 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2009 was 66.1 million head. This was down 2 percent from June 1, 2008 but up 1 percent from March 1, 2009. Breeding inventory, at 5.97 million head, was down 3 percent from last year and down slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 60.1 million head, was down 2 percent from last year but up 1 percent from last quarter. The March-May 2009 pig crop, at 28.5 million head, was down slightly from 2008 but up 2 percent from 2007. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.97 million head, down 3 percent from 2008 and down 2 percent from 2007. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 9.61 for the March-May 2009 period, compared to 9.38 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.70 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.97 million sows farrow during the June- August 2009 quarter, down 3 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2008 and down 5 percent from 2007. Intended farrowings for September-November 2009, at 2.96 million sows, are down 2 percent from 2008 and down 7 percent from 2007. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 46 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 41 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for June 2008 through March 2009 were reviewed using slaughter, death loss and current import and export data. Based on this review, adjustments of less than one percent were made to the December 2008 total inventory and March 2009 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one and a half percent was made to the September-November 2008 pig crop. This report was approved on June 26, 2009. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James W. Miller Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2008-2009................................1 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2007-2009.......................2 Quarterly U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation, 2008-2009...............................2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2007-2009 March 1..............................................................................5 June 1...............................................................................7 September 1..........................................................................9 December 1..........................................................................11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2007-2009 December-February...................................................................13 March-May...........................................................................14 June-August.........................................................................15 September-November..................................................................16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2008-2009........................................17 Reliability Statement.......................................................................18 Information Contacts........................................................................19 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2008-2009 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : 2009 Item : 2008 : 2009 : as a % : : : 2008 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------ 1,000 Head ------ Percent : March 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 67,218 65,369 97 Kept for Breeding : 6,200 5,991 97 Market : 61,018 59,378 97 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,137 21,458 97 60-119 Pounds : 14,490 14,326 99 120-179 Pounds : 13,193 12,732 97 180 Pounds and Over : 11,199 10,862 97 : June 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 67,400 66,079 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,131 5,967 97 Market : 61,269 60,112 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,197 21,673 98 60-119 Pounds : 15,321 15,008 98 120-179 Pounds : 12,892 12,584 98 180 Pounds and Over : 10,860 10,847 100 : September 1 Inventory 1/: All Hogs and Pigs : 68,196 Kept for Breeding : 6,061 Market : 62,135 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,683 60-119 Pounds : 15,397 120-179 Pounds : 12,855 180 Pounds and Over : 11,201 : December 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 67,148 Kept for Breeding : 6,061 Market : 61,087 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 21,727 60-119 Pounds : 15,096 120-179 Pounds : 12,731 180 Pounds and Over : 11,533 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2007-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2009 as % of Item : 2007 : 2008 : 2009 :--------------- : : : : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 1/ : 2,905 3,071 2,978 103 97 Mar-May : 3,030 3,052 2,971 98 97 Dec-May 1/ 2/ : 5,935 6,123 5,949 100 97 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 3,133 3,075 2,974 95 97 Sep-Nov 3/ : 3,180 3,028 2,962 93 98 Jun-Nov 2/ 3/ : 6,312 6,103 5,936 94 97 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 1/ : 26,395 28,387 28,230 107 99 Mar-May : 27,870 28,630 28,547 102 100 Dec-May 1/ 2/ : 54,266 57,017 56,777 105 100 : Jun-Aug : 29,095 29,240 Sep-Nov : 29,513 28,770 Jun-Nov 2/ : 58,608 58,010 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 1/ : 9.09 9.24 9.48 104 103 Mar-May : 9.20 9.38 9.61 104 102 Dec-May 1/ : 9.14 9.31 9.54 104 102 : Jun-Aug : 9.29 9.51 Sep-Nov : 9.28 9.50 Jun-Nov : 9.28 9.51 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Intentions for 2009. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2008 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.80 9.20 9.30 Mar-May : 7.70 8.20 8.40 9.00 9.40 9.40 Jun-Aug : 7.80 8.30 8.40 9.00 9.50 9.60 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.30 9.00 9.40 9.60 : 2009 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.30 8.10 8.40 9.00 9.40 9.50 Mar-May : 7.40 8.10 8.50 9.10 9.60 9.70 Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2009 : : 2009 : : 2009 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 90 85 94 210 190 90 300 275 92 CO : 155 150 97 625 590 94 780 740 95 IL : 490 480 98 3,960 3,770 95 4,450 4,250 96 IN : 310 270 87 3,340 3,230 97 3,650 3,500 96 IA : 1,080 1,040 96 18,020 18,260 101 19,100 19,300 101 KS : 170 165 97 1,710 1,655 97 1,880 1,820 97 MI : 100 110 110 880 930 106 980 1,040 106 MN : 590 580 98 6,910 6,720 97 7,500 7,300 97 MO : 380 365 96 2,720 2,585 95 3,100 2,950 95 NE : 370 385 104 2,930 2,765 94 3,300 3,150 95 NC : 1,010 980 97 9,090 8,420 93 10,100 9,400 93 OH : 165 170 103 1,685 1,810 107 1,850 1,980 107 OK : 400 400 100 1,950 1,940 99 2,350 2,340 100 PA : 100 90 90 1,050 1,020 97 1,150 1,110 97 SD : 160 150 94 1,310 1,160 89 1,470 1,310 89 TX : 105 95 90 985 995 101 1,090 1,090 100 WI : 45 45 100 365 325 89 410 370 90 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 480 431 90 3,278 3,013 92 3,758 3,444 92 : US 2/ : 6,200 5,991 97 61,018 59,378 97 67,218 65,369 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 160 145 15 15 10 15 25 15 CO : 320 320 85 75 80 70 140 125 IL : 1,440 1,440 900 960 900 770 720 600 IN : 1,200 1,230 840 800 680 620 620 580 IA : 5,450 5,150 4,680 5,050 4,440 4,690 3,450 3,370 KS : 575 575 370 265 295 290 470 525 MI : 315 350 220 230 170 160 175 190 MN : 2,690 2,620 1,650 1,670 1,460 1,390 1,110 1,040 MO : 1,245 1,250 520 470 530 465 425 400 NE : 1,080 1,030 760 700 660 610 430 425 NC : 3,580 3,400 2,100 1,840 1,890 1,710 1,520 1,470 OH : 635 715 410 435 390 390 250 270 OK : 960 890 300 340 220 210 470 500 PA : 320 350 300 275 230 200 200 195 SD : 480 450 285 250 280 245 265 215 TX : 330 310 200 200 210 200 245 285 WI : 150 145 85 70 60 55 70 55 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,207 1,088 770 681 688 642 614 602 : US 2/ : 22,137 21,458 14,490 14,326 13,193 12,732 11,199 10,862 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2009 : : 2009 : : 2009 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 95 85 89 215 200 93 310 285 92 CO : 150 150 100 610 590 97 760 740 97 IL : 460 480 104 3,890 3,820 98 4,350 4,300 99 IN : 290 270 93 3,360 3,230 96 3,650 3,500 96 IA : 1,080 1,020 94 18,320 18,580 101 19,400 19,600 101 KS : 170 170 100 1,610 1,610 100 1,780 1,780 100 MI : 100 110 110 930 940 101 1,030 1,050 102 MN : 580 580 100 6,920 6,820 99 7,500 7,400 99 MO : 380 345 91 2,720 2,655 98 3,100 3,000 97 NE : 380 390 103 3,020 2,860 95 3,400 3,250 96 NC : 1,020 990 97 9,080 8,610 95 10,100 9,600 95 OH : 165 170 103 1,725 1,830 106 1,890 2,000 106 OK : 400 400 100 1,960 1,880 96 2,360 2,280 97 PA : 95 90 95 1,085 1,050 97 1,180 1,140 97 SD : 150 155 103 1,280 1,125 88 1,430 1,280 90 TX : 105 95 90 965 915 95 1,070 1,010 94 WI : 45 45 100 345 315 91 390 360 92 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 466 422 91 3,234 3,082 95 3,700 3,504 95 : US 2/ : 6,131 5,967 97 61,269 60,112 98 67,400 66,079 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 160 155 20 15 15 15 20 15 CO : 310 315 115 90 70 70 115 115 IL : 1,400 1,360 990 1,030 850 790 650 640 IN : 1,180 1,220 900 830 670 620 610 560 IA : 5,430 5,380 5,060 5,250 4,450 4,530 3,380 3,420 KS : 540 520 330 315 260 285 480 490 MI : 325 360 230 240 185 160 190 180 MN : 2,660 2,660 1,760 1,760 1,470 1,370 1,030 1,030 MO : 1,295 1,295 545 490 475 455 405 415 NE : 1,120 1,060 810 750 650 630 440 420 NC : 3,700 3,420 2,150 1,920 1,760 1,740 1,470 1,530 OH : 630 715 435 450 400 395 260 270 OK : 990 860 300 300 220 210 450 510 PA : 320 350 320 310 235 205 210 185 SD : 480 425 305 260 255 225 240 215 TX : 315 295 225 215 205 205 220 200 WI : 130 130 90 75 60 60 65 50 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,212 1,153 736 708 662 619 625 602 : US 2/ : 22,197 21,673 15,321 15,008 12,892 12,584 10,860 10,847 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 95 112 205 220 107 290 315 109 CO : 160 150 94 700 600 86 860 750 87 IL : 490 470 96 3,710 3,930 106 4,200 4,400 105 IN : 300 280 93 3,200 3,320 104 3,500 3,600 103 IA : 1,050 1,070 102 17,850 18,730 105 18,900 19,800 105 KS : 180 170 94 1,790 1,640 92 1,970 1,810 92 MI : 100 100 100 980 950 97 1,080 1,050 97 MN : 610 570 93 6,690 7,030 105 7,300 7,600 104 MO : 385 375 97 2,765 2,775 100 3,150 3,150 100 NE : 370 375 101 2,980 2,925 98 3,350 3,300 99 NC : 1,020 1,000 98 9,380 9,300 99 10,400 10,300 99 OH : 165 165 100 1,595 1,755 110 1,760 1,920 109 OK : 400 400 100 2,050 2,060 100 2,450 2,460 100 PA : 100 85 85 1,090 1,035 95 1,190 1,120 94 SD : 155 150 97 1,225 1,210 99 1,380 1,360 99 TX : 100 105 105 1,020 1,015 100 1,120 1,120 100 WI : 50 45 90 370 335 91 420 380 90 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 488 456 93 3,466 3,305 95 3,955 3,761 95 : US 2/ : 6,208 6,061 98 61,066 62,135 102 67,275 68,196 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 150 170 20 20 15 15 20 15 CO : 365 310 120 105 75 70 140 115 IL : 1,400 1,420 910 1,010 780 840 620 660 IN : 1,120 1,200 840 890 640 620 600 610 IA : 5,790 5,620 4,920 5,170 4,040 4,460 3,100 3,480 KS : 550 570 380 300 375 275 485 495 MI : 335 355 230 240 230 185 185 170 MN : 2,680 2,820 1,710 1,820 1,300 1,400 1,000 990 MO : 1,300 1,350 545 565 530 495 390 365 NE : 1,150 1,090 810 780 590 610 430 445 NC : 3,700 3,700 2,310 2,050 1,820 1,860 1,550 1,690 OH : 630 655 385 455 350 400 230 245 OK : 950 980 340 320 250 240 510 520 PA : 350 320 310 305 240 215 190 195 SD : 425 455 290 285 270 240 240 230 TX : 355 325 215 250 220 205 230 235 WI : 150 125 105 90 60 55 55 65 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,248 1,218 821 742 745 670 652 676 : US 2/ : 22,648 22,683 15,261 15,397 12,530 12,855 10,627 11,201 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 90 106 205 190 93 290 280 97 CO : 160 150 94 700 580 83 860 730 85 IL : 480 490 102 3,870 3,860 100 4,350 4,350 100 IN : 320 280 88 3,380 3,270 97 3,700 3,550 96 IA : 1,080 1,070 99 18,320 18,830 103 19,400 19,900 103 KS : 180 165 92 1,700 1,575 93 1,880 1,740 93 MI : 100 110 110 930 920 99 1,030 1,030 100 MN : 600 580 97 7,100 6,920 97 7,700 7,500 97 MO : 375 370 99 2,775 2,780 100 3,150 3,150 100 NE : 365 380 104 2,985 2,970 99 3,350 3,350 100 NC : 1,020 980 96 9,180 8,720 95 10,200 9,700 95 OH : 160 170 106 1,670 1,770 106 1,830 1,940 106 OK : 400 400 100 1,950 2,000 103 2,350 2,400 102 PA : 105 90 86 1,065 1,030 97 1,170 1,120 96 SD : 165 155 94 1,295 1,125 87 1,460 1,280 88 TX : 105 100 95 1,055 1,020 97 1,160 1,120 97 WI : 50 40 80 390 320 82 440 360 82 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 483 441 91 3,374 3,207 95 3,857 3,648 95 : US 2/ : 6,233 6,061 97 61,944 61,087 99 68,177 67,148 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 150 145 20 15 15 15 20 15 CO : 360 315 90 70 90 70 160 125 IL : 1,420 1,420 980 990 800 800 670 650 IN : 1,260 1,220 850 830 680 610 590 610 IA : 5,810 5,290 4,880 5,320 4,060 4,500 3,570 3,720 KS : 580 530 365 305 295 245 460 495 MI : 315 320 235 240 200 175 180 185 MN : 2,750 2,710 1,730 1,760 1,450 1,360 1,170 1,090 MO : 1,300 1,340 570 560 485 490 420 390 NE : 1,140 1,130 805 760 590 630 450 450 NC : 3,430 3,380 2,220 1,930 1,890 1,770 1,640 1,640 OH : 650 670 405 445 360 400 255 255 OK : 910 930 300 320 220 260 520 490 PA : 345 320 300 300 220 215 200 195 SD : 465 435 285 225 295 240 250 225 TX : 315 320 230 200 230 205 280 295 WI : 150 120 100 85 70 55 70 60 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,195 1,132 808 741 708 691 664 643 : US 2/ : 22,545 21,727 15,173 15,096 12,658 12,731 11,569 11,533 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing 1/ : : Pig Crop 1/ 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2009 : per Litter 1/ : : 2009 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2008 : :as % of : : : 2008 : :as % of : : Number : 2008 : 2008 : 2009 : : Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 44 100 9.60 9.85 422 433 103 CO : 84 74 88 9.05 8.60 760 636 84 IL : 240 250 104 9.25 9.50 2,220 2,375 107 IN : 150 140 93 9.00 9.30 1,350 1,302 96 IA : 510 490 96 9.20 9.60 4,692 4,704 100 KS : 86 80 93 9.10 9.10 783 728 93 MI : 52 53 102 9.45 9.70 491 514 105 MN : 285 280 98 9.25 9.75 2,636 2,730 104 MO : 190 190 100 9.20 9.35 1,748 1,777 102 NE : 190 180 95 9.50 9.75 1,805 1,755 97 NC : 550 520 95 9.20 9.55 5,060 4,966 98 OH : 89 86 97 9.15 9.40 814 808 99 OK : 180 190 106 9.35 8.90 1,683 1,691 100 PA : 43 40 93 9.50 9.75 409 390 95 SD : 88 82 93 9.60 9.85 845 808 96 TX : 54 45 83 9.00 9.65 486 434 89 WI : 26 24 92 8.95 8.80 233 211 91 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 210 210 100 9.29 9.37 1,950 1,968 101 : US 4/ : 3,071 2,978 97 9.24 9.48 28,387 28,230 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 4/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2009 : per Litter : : 2009 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2008 : :as % of : : : 2008 : :as % of : : Number : 2008 : 2008 : 2009 : : Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 45 46 102 9.80 9.25 441 426 97 CO : 81 72 89 8.85 9.00 717 648 90 IL : 230 245 107 9.35 9.50 2,151 2,328 108 IN : 145 135 93 9.10 9.40 1,320 1,269 96 IA : 520 485 93 9.35 9.65 4,862 4,680 96 KS : 80 80 100 9.10 9.40 728 752 103 MI : 53 53 100 9.70 9.65 514 511 99 MN : 285 280 98 9.50 9.95 2,708 2,786 103 MO : 190 185 97 9.40 9.80 1,786 1,813 102 NE : 185 185 100 9.60 9.90 1,776 1,832 103 NC : 550 530 96 9.35 9.70 5,143 5,141 100 OH : 89 86 97 9.40 9.50 837 817 98 OK : 185 180 97 9.45 9.00 1,748 1,620 93 PA : 41 42 102 9.45 9.75 387 410 106 SD : 85 86 101 9.70 10.10 825 869 105 TX : 51 47 92 8.60 9.70 439 456 104 WI : 26 23 88 9.10 9.10 237 209 88 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 211 211 100 9.54 9.41 2,011 1,980 98 : US 3/ : 3,052 2,971 97 9.38 9.61 28,630 28,547 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2007-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2009 2/ : per Litter : : 2008 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2007 : 2008 : :as % of: : : 2007 : :as % of : : :Number : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 46 50 43 86 9.70 9.70 446 485 109 CO : 83 76 75 99 9.15 8.90 759 676 89 IL : 245 240 245 102 9.15 9.45 2,242 2,268 101 IN : 150 145 135 93 9.10 9.25 1,365 1,341 98 IA : 480 510 480 94 9.30 9.40 4,464 4,794 107 KS : 90 81 84 104 9.00 9.15 810 741 91 MI : 55 53 54 102 9.20 9.25 506 490 97 MN : 295 285 285 100 9.50 9.80 2,803 2,793 100 MO : 195 195 185 95 9.30 9.70 1,814 1,892 104 NE : 200 185 185 100 9.50 9.70 1,900 1,795 94 NC : 580 560 530 95 9.10 9.65 5,278 5,404 102 OH : 86 89 86 97 9.40 9.50 808 846 105 OK : 195 195 185 95 9.35 9.35 1,823 1,823 100 PA : 48 38 42 111 9.60 9.60 461 365 79 SD : 83 82 82 100 9.60 9.80 797 804 101 TX : 58 52 49 94 9.05 8.55 525 445 85 WI : 26 24 23 96 8.90 9.10 231 218 94 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 218 215 206 96 9.49 9.58 2,063 2,060 100 : US 4/ : 3,133 3,075 2,974 97 9.29 9.51 29,095 29,240 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 4/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2007-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2009 2/ : Per Litter : : 2008 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2007 : 2008 : :as % of: : : 2007 : :as % of : : :Number : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 46 43 93 9.80 9.80 431 451 105 CO : 83 71 74 104 9.05 8.80 751 625 83 IL : 245 255 245 96 9.25 9.40 2,266 2,397 106 IN : 155 140 135 96 9.00 9.20 1,395 1,288 92 IA : 540 510 480 94 9.30 9.50 5,022 4,845 96 KS : 89 76 84 111 9.15 9.40 814 714 88 MI : 53 53 54 102 9.45 9.65 501 511 102 MN : 295 285 285 100 9.30 9.85 2,744 2,807 102 MO : 195 200 185 93 9.30 9.65 1,814 1,930 106 NE : 195 185 185 100 9.55 9.80 1,862 1,813 97 NC : 570 520 530 102 9.20 9.55 5,244 4,966 95 OH : 86 89 84 94 9.45 9.00 813 801 99 OK : 190 185 185 100 9.20 9.20 1,748 1,702 97 PA : 51 40 41 103 9.10 9.35 464 374 81 SD : 90 84 80 95 9.55 9.80 860 823 96 TX : 58 50 46 92 9.35 9.55 542 478 88 WI : 26 23 22 96 8.90 8.95 231 206 89 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 215 216 204 94 9.37 9.44 2,011 2,039 101 : US 4/ : 3,180 3,028 2,962 98 9.28 9.50 29,513 28,770 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 4/ May not add due to rounding. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing 1/ : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 2/ : 1,017 987 9.22 9.50 9,381 9,380 Jan : 1,028 1,003 9.24 9.45 9,501 9,478 Feb : 1,026 988 9.26 9.49 9,505 9,372 Mar : 1,049 997 9.35 9.56 9,811 9,530 Apr : 998 986 9.38 9.61 9,370 9,474 May : 1,004 988 9.41 9.66 9,449 9,543 Jun : 1,046 9.48 9,917 Jul : 1,020 9.52 9,712 Aug : 1,009 9.53 9,611 Sep : 1,047 9.50 9,950 Oct : 1,005 9.48 9,528 Nov : 976 9.52 9,292 : Total : 12,225 9.41 115,027 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. Reliability of June 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 9,200 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of June 2009, data were collected from about 7,600 operations, 83 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of June 1, 2009. Estimation Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 66.1 million head by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.7 percent. Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.6 2.7 1,784 694 20 3,067 5 15 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 2.0 3.4 971 359 0 1,644 4 15 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 2.3 4.0 119 44 3 216 3 17 : Following : Quarter : 2.6 4.6 136 54 3 220 5 15 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch...........................................(202) 720-3570 Livestock Section Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section...........................................(202) 690-2424 Jim Collom - Dairy Products.............................................(202) 690-3236 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices......................................(202) 690-2168 Jason Hardegree - Cattle, Cattle on Feed................................(202) 720-3040 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter.................................(515) 284-4340 Everett Olbert - Sheep and Goats........................................(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows.............................(202) 720-3278 Nick Streff - Hogs and Pigs.............................................(202) 720-3106 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge. 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